 | Jake Chapman - 2004 - عدد الصفحات: 168
...Under these conditions the linear rational model of policy making fails to guide the policy maker. What makes prediction especially difficult in these...non-linear interactions among the components of the systems. The conjunction of a few small events can produce a big effect if their effects multiply rather... | |
 | Jake Chapman - 2004 - عدد الصفحات: 168
...Under these conditions the linear rational model of policy making fails to guide the policy maker. What makes prediction especially difficult in these...non-linear interactions among the components of the systems. The conjunction of a few small events can produce a big effect if their effects multiply rather... | |
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What makes prediction especially difficult in these settings is that the forces shaping the future do not add up in a simple, systemwide manner. Instead, their effects include nonlinear interactions among the components of the 